NHL analysis

Final December Prediction Totals: 118-for-210; 56.2%

Here are the first picks of the new year:

Away                        Home

——————————-

Phoenix (.216)           Washington (.433)
Colorado (.441)          Nashville (.549)
Atlanta (.525)          Ottawa (.408)
NY Islanders (.474)     Buffalo (.582)
Boston (.429)          Toronto (.376)
For January I have gone back to using Power Rankings without including offensive and defensive statistics for my game predictions.  I am working on incorporating an adjusted version of my offensive and defensive statistics that include opponent defensive strength in calculating offensive stats, and vice versa.  When I complete that I will likely implement it back into my predictions, likely for February.  I felt that the addition of the offensive and defensive stats were misleading, giving a significant advantage to teams that took plenty of shots, regardless of their winning percentage.  Taking 35+ shots per game doesn’t help if 34 of those shots are from shallow angles or without traffic in front of the net.

This entry was posted on Sunday, December 31st, 2006 at 11:57 pm and is filed under -Site Info, -Game Predictions, -Blog. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.