Expected Final Standings

I’ve posted expected final standings (link is along top).  These standings show both points that each team is on pace for (i.e. the points they will finish with if they maintain their current win percentage throughout the rest of the season) and their expected final points (which takes into account their power rank and their remaining schedule difficulty).

It’s worth pointing out that the predictions are still fairly inaccurate.  There is simply no way even the best teams can continue the pace they are on, meaning it’s ridiculous to think Buffalo will finish with 147 points, or Detroit with 154 (a perfect season is 164).  Detroit has already lost 9 points off of a perfect season.  Clearly they are not going to go 70-0-1 for the remainder of their schedule.

I’m posting these so early despite the obvious limitations because I think that even now, these predictions offer a clearer picture of how teams rank up than the standings based purely on points.  Those standings don’t take into account games played, for once thing.  I’ll probably post the standings sorted by the winning percentages in the near future, as well.

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